Current Tether Supply Suggests Bitcoin Price Is Correcting to $20,000

Bitcoin price charting on a longer timeframe, market structure and the issuance of 1 billion Tether so far this year are making crypto and equities analyst FilbFilb incredibly bullish on BTC/USD in the run up to the 2020 halving.

The second envisioned a lengthy period of consolidation where Bitcoin price would remain pinned between $9,000 and $12,000, providing the opportunity for savvy traders and institutional investors to accumulate prior to the 2020 halving.

As discussed previously, there is a noticeable lag between Tether issuance and Bitcoin's corresponding price action.

By starting at Tether's market cap bottom and comparing this against the time it took Bitcoin to reach its 2018 bottom, FilbFilb's notes that there is an approximately 32-day delay between Tether and Bitcoin's price action.

161, FilbFilb concluded that the correlation between Tether and Bitcoin is 0.89.

When applied to Tether's current market cap of $4.34 billion, the model suggests that the price of Bitcoin should be somewhere around $20,000.

The Tether / Bitcoin analysis is solely reliant up data from 236 days and correlation does not a pure determination of causation.

If Bitcoin's market cap continues to grow, the formula and analysis will require adjustment as the current 1 billion Tether issuance's impact on a $70 billion Bitcoin market cap will have a different impact on a larger or smaller Bitcoin market cap.

Ultimately, what is worth noting is that there is a statistically significant correlation between Bitcoin price and Tether's market cap.

As Cointelegraph reported several weeks ago, Digital asset research firm Delphi Digital found that the current macroeconomic landscape is creating the "Perfect storm" to ignite Bitcoin price appreciation.