Canaccord Analysts Predict Bitcoin Price Return to $20K In 2021

Analysts at Canaccord Genuity expect to see a little bit of history repeating.

In a research note sent to the investment bank's clients Thursday, analyst Michael Graham and associates Matthew Volpe and Alexander Frankiewicz predicted a return to bitcoin's stratospheric late-2017 high over the next 24 months.

Now four months into 2019, we note for the third time the striking similarity in bitcoin's price action between 2011-2015 and 2015-2019.

While this simple pattern recognition has little fundamental basis, we note that bitcoin does operate on a four-year cycle of sorts, as the halving of bitcoin's mining reward occurs approximately every four years.

Bitcoin has started to form the spring 2019 bottom we began mentioning last year, although a close look at the chart suggests the recovery may be slightly ahead of itself.

Looking ahead, if bitcoin were to continue following the same trend, the implication is a slow climb back toward its all-time high of ~$20,000, theoretically reaching that level in March 2021.

The analysts also noted more movement in the crypto markets, saying that about "7 million bitcoins have been shaken out of 'Cold' status and have begun trading hands again."

Since no one knows what the future holds, the analysts overlaid two past performances over each other, noting that with each halving of the block reward, the bitcoin price rose dramatically.

Another factor may be Grayscale's "Drop Gold" advertising campaign, which hit airwaves recently and targets digitally native investor base that may prefer bitcoin to gold as a non-government store of value investment.

"In any event, bitcoin is so far one of the best-performing assets of 2019," they wrote.