What the Crypto Markets Are Saying About the Future of Bitcoin

Bitcoin has been sliding amid a lack of capital inflows, raising questions about the future for bitcoin in the long-term.

Some analysts argue the nascent market has a long way to go before reaching maturity, as seen in traditional markets, where smoothed volatility and liquidity are important factors.

A poll conducted by Alex Kruger, a macro cryptocurrency analyst, shows the majority of Crypto Twitter participants think bitcoin will 'eventually' mature and settle into a wide price range, resembling the traditional commodities markets in real-terms.

Timing is always the question and BTC could be faraway from that level of maturity, where it 'settles' into a defined range as the budding market of cryptocurrency moves into its 10th year.

Willy Woo, a crypto on-chain analyst and trader, said the price of BTC still had some ways to go in discovering a price ceiling.

BTC's market capitalization, a measurement of total coins in circulation multiplied by its spot price, stands at $204.4 billion, down from its yearly peak of $233 billion witnessed June 27, according to information provided by Messari, a cryptocurrency data provider.

As the market cap increases, the impact to BTC by large market participants, aptly named "Whales", is likely to be less impactful in shifting price.

Nic Carter, Partner at Castle Island Ventures, a venture capital firm focused on public blockchains, said BTC resembles a commodity more than any other asset class, but also said that volatility isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

BTC's halving, an event where the reward for mining new blocks is halved, meaning miners receive 50 percent fewer BTC for verifying transactions, is set to trigger on May 14, 2020.In macroeconomics, scarcity tends to be a fundamental driving force that increases the value of an asset, much the same way that diamonds, oil and gold functions based on the supply and demand from speculative investors.

How far along BTC's market cycle is, is yet to be determined, but if traditional economics prove true, BTC could be highly valued in the very near future.